Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 23% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 16 Jul 2026, the highest close was 23% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 8 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 12.5% on 3 May 2026. $59.32K traded over the market's life.
37 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 12:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 2 May 2026 – 16 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 23.0% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.07K |
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 6.39K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 5.21K |
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve according to the first individual publicly announced as the chosen candidate of the National Rally (Rassemblement National, RN) party for the 2027 French presidential election. A qualifying announcement must explicitly identify the relevant individual as the National Rally Party’s candidate for the 2027 French presidential election. If the National Rally party simultaneously announces multiple individuals as its candidates for the 2027 French presidential election, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no qualifying announcement is made by the time the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election is released, this market will resolve to the National Rally candidate included on that list. If multiple National Rally candidates are included on that list, this market will resolve to “Multiple Candidates”. If no National Rally candidate is included on that list, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Rally party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-national-rally-candidate
| Yes |
| 1.72K |
| High-Level-Precedence | Yes | 1.11K |
| ACara | Yes | 1.01K |
| nidrac2 | Yes | 1K |
| balthazar | Yes | 855.86 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 533.01 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 532 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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