Analytics
Yes is at 37%, up 6 points from 31% when the market opened on 12 Sep 2026.
The high was 38% on 9 Oct 2026 and the low 24% on 21 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 33.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 24% on 21 Sep 2026.
0.5% is the favourite of the 9 outcomes in “September Inflation US - Monthly”, ahead of 0.6% at 33.5%.
$53.23 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.09K since listing. The order book holds $4.14K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 350 trades, $1.79K bought Yes and $6.94K bought No; the largest was a $1.31K buy of No at 65.7¢.
The largest Yes position is 7418399 with 5.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.6K. Ten wallets hold 90% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Oct 2026, 6 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 10, 1:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 30 points · 12 Sep 2026 – 10 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | 31.0% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 7418399 | Yes | 5.23K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.6K |
| podairpod | Yes | 2.38K |
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/september-inflation-us-monthly
| grinder1011 |
| No |
| 2.35K |
| Gaditima | No | 2.32K |
| .perfect | Yes | 2K |
| marksman | No | 1.62K |
| thursdays | No | 1.25K |
| bufogodis | No | 475.62 |
| Crabsoup92 | Yes | 324.67 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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