Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 14 points from 25.5% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 150 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.5% on 29 May 2026 and the lowest 8% on 25 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12%; a month before, 14%. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 15.5% on 5 Jun 2026.
It is one of 22 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations”.
$42.22 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.33K since listing. The order book holds $3.95K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 71 trades, $115.39 bought Yes and $762.57 bought No.
The largest Yes position is slporc2 with 278 shares; the largest No position is HappyFamily with 563. Ten wallets hold 96.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 21 Jan 2027, 85 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 150 points, 28 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 25.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HappyFamily | No | 562.63 |
| slporc2 | Yes | 278.24 |
| maritime6307 | Yes | 166 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167
9 more markets, none above 28.0%.
| pengu1n |
| Yes |
| 94.73 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 94.63 |
| RudyStylez | Yes | 49.78 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 33.72 |
| WholeFawn1278 | Yes | 26 |
| dlo23378 | Yes | 22 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 20.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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