Analytics
Yes is at 85%, up 14 points from 71.5% when the market opened on 28 May 2026.
Across the 152 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 90% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 61.5% on 9 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 86.5%; a month before, 78%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 79.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
It is one of 22 markets under “Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations”.
$19.9K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $2.13K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 190 trades, $6.32K bought Yes and $937.12 bought No; the largest was a $3.43K buy of Yes at 85.0¢.
The largest Yes position is tetrase with 3.5K shares; the largest No position is Hyperlong with 1K. Ten wallets hold 84.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 9:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 152 points, 28 May 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 71.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 85.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tetrase | Yes | 3.52K |
| Hyperlong | No | 1K |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 489.3 |
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/oscars-2026-best-picture-nominations-167
10 more markets, none above 28.0%.
| Indigo Horizon 0E88 |
| Yes |
| 427.56 |
| Spectrum | No | 400 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 389.81 |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu | No | 362.18 |
| Leclerc04 | No | 302 |
| bananabreakfast | No | 259.79 |
| ABC12345654321 | No | 245.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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