Analytics
Yes is at 19.1%, up 13 points from 6.5% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 472 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 6 Nov 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 28.1% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 6.2% on 16 Oct 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 17.8%; a month before, 15.3%. Its largest one-day move was 7.2 points up, to 13.7% on 29 Jul 2025.
Marco Rubio ranks second of the 43 outcomes in “Republican Presidential Nominee 2028”. J.D. Vance leads at 39.9%; Ron DeSantis is at 13.3%.
$132.14K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $11.45M since listing. The order book holds $253.72K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $29.62K bought Yes and $22.53K bought No; the largest was a $9.68K buy of No at 78.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Jsram with 352K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.64M. Ten wallets hold 73.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 472 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 6.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 19.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.64M |
| Jsram | Yes | 351.96K |
| Brokie | Yes | 295.96K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028
31 more outcomes, none above 0.9%.
| hose |
| Yes |
| 151.12K |
| Pog | Yes | 123.74K |
| liruihao | Yes | 111.74K |
| lastminwin | Yes | 77.72K |
| PollsR4Dummies | Yes | 71.4K |
| AnonymousUsername | Yes | 67.72K |
| tetrose | Yes | 65K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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