What is the “Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will Lighter hit in 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Right now Yes trades at 33.5¢ and No at 66.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 33.5% for Yes and 66.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

What price will Lighter hit before 2027?

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($5.12) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($188.95) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 20 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 89.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Oct 3, 12:36 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-lighter-hit-before-2027) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? Polymarket Odds

Market referencewill-lighter-dip-to-2pt5-before-2027Updated 4m ago

cryptoActive

Closes Jan 1, 2027 UTCrecurringlighter

Yes

33.5%

66.5%

Buy Yes 33.5¢Buy No 66.5¢

24h Volume

Liquidity

$189

Closes

Jan 1, 2027 UTC

Yes price

33.5¢

Market actionRead-only Polymarket handoff.

Yes

33.5%

66.5%

24h volume

$5.12

Vultax does not execute orders. These controls open the official Polymarket market or route back into the Vultax predictions terminal.

Trade

buy Yes· 33.5¢

Open in terminal$5.12 24h vol

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

just now

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Spread

13.0%

Observed

4m ago

Current public quote is shown when Vultax depth snapshots are unavailable.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Active

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

33.5%

Orderbook depth should be read with the displayed bid/ask, liquidity, and observation time.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

89%

Yes / No shares

227.53 / 227.55

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Oct 3, 12:38 PM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Oct 3, 12:38 PM UTC	33.5%	33.5%
Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC	43.5%	43.5%
Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC	44.5%	44.5%

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “What price will Lighter hit in 2026?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: Right now Yes trades at 33.5¢ and No at 66.5¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 33.5% for Yes and 66.5% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: What price will Lighter hit before 2027?
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($5.12) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours; liquidity ($188.95) is the dollar value resting in the order book. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?: Vultax loaded 20 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 89.3% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Analytics

Bucket

Mid

Spread

Volume

Trades

Oct 3, 12:38 PM UTC

33.5%

Oct 3, 12:00 AM UTC

43.5%

Oct 2, 12:00 AM UTC

44.5%