Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 3.3 points from 3.4% when the market opened on 3 Jun 2026.
Across the 146 daily closes on record from 3 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.4% on 3 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%.
Lesil McGuire ranks 18th of the 22 outcomes in “Alaska Governor Election Winner”. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads at 86.7%; Bernadette Wilson is at 11.5%.
$6.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $56.04K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $6.35 bought Yes and $599.49 bought No.
The largest Yes position is qwen300.fund with 6.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 39K. Ten wallets hold 80.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 8 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 3 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jun 2026 | 3.4% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 38.95K |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 6.34K |
| SPLPB | Yes | 3.1K |
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-governor-election-winner
9 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| balthazar |
| Yes |
| 3.08K |
| donthackme | Yes | 2.73K |
| Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon | Yes | 2.31K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.88K |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 1.83K |
| kaxel78 | Yes | 1.38K |
| zerone777 | Yes | 1.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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