Analytics
Trading ended on 3 Jun 2026 with Yes at 55.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 360 daily closes on record from 10 Oct 2025 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.5% on 19 Oct 2025 and the lowest 19.5% on 1 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.5%; a month before, 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 46% on 8 May 2026.
Karen Bass is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Los Angeles Mayoral Election”, ahead of Nithya Raman at 44.7%.
$1.9M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is lomneivan with 144.8K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 327.4K. Ten wallets hold 71% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 7:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 360 points, 10 Oct 2025 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2025 | 47.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 55.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 327.38K |
| lomneivan | Yes | 144.83K |
| anoin123 | Yes | 84.07K |
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/los-angeles-mayoral-election-117
| wan123 |
| Yes |
| 70.93K |
| MemeKing20 | Yes | 44.21K |
| Do-Not-Redeem | Yes | 43.89K |
| pop | No | 26.79K |
| mwenya | Yes | 24.99K |
| eightpenguins | No | 20.19K |
| goingsocial | No | 17.13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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