Analytics
Yes is at 27.3%, up 24 points from 3.7% when the market opened on 19 Jul 2025.
Across the 457 daily closes on record from 19 Jul 2025 to 6 Nov 2026 (19 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 27.3% on 6 Nov 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 1 Nov 2025. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.6%; a month before, 14.9%. Its largest one-day move was 8.9 points up, to 26.4% on 5 Nov 2026.
Jon Ossoff is the favourite of the 56 outcomes in “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”, ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 17.3%.
$158.47K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $14.58M since listing. The order book holds $643.68K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $112.11K bought Yes and $33.53K bought No; the largest was a $53.67K buy of Yes at 25.0¢.
The largest Yes position is HerbertAppreciator with 523.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 3.17M. Ten wallets hold 73.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 457 points, 19 Jul 2025 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2025 | 3.7% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 27.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.17M |
| HerbertAppreciator | Yes | 523.51K |
| BreakTheBank | Yes | 283.07K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/democratic-presidential-nominee-2028
44 more outcomes, none above 1.4%.
| MSKW22222 | Yes | 236.4K |
| Jsram | Yes | 230.68K |
| chickendilla | Yes | 133.95K |
| ISMS2222 | Yes | 124.7K |
| Mgmgigante | Yes | 89.22K |
| Ivory Ledger 752C | Yes | 81.7K |
| JonOssoff | Yes | 80K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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