Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 38.5% on 28 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 97 daily closes on record from 28 May 2026 to 2 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 90% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3% on 27 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 86 points down, to 3.6% on 2 Sep 2026. $14.31K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 6:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 97 points, 28 May 2026 – 2 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 May 2026 | 38.5% |
| 2 Sep 2026 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 52.5 |
| Keen Scout EB71 | No | 51.04 |
| katanaAob | Yes | 21 |
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alaska-at-large-primary-winners
| Yes |
| 21 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | 15.22 |
| tiongbu | Yes | 9.8 |
| gonnakilmyslf | Yes | 5.47 |
| PPMT | Yes | 5.04 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 0.91 |
| 56sdfdsfs | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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