Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.15K | $0.799 | $2K | +$277.73 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 150 | $0.855 | $128.25 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 797.85 |
| $0.754 |
| $682.56 |
| +$80.82 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 878 | $0.327 | $304.23 | +$17.53 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | 419 | $0.476 | $194.84 | -$4.85 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.15K | $0.205 | $153.71 | -$287.32 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 807.25 | $0.245 | $116.65 | -$80.95 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 107.65 | $0.305 | $80.2 | +$47.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 95.1 | $0.709 | $67.05 | -$0.42 |
 Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71 | $0.798 | $50.76 | -$5.88 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | Yes | 126.24 | $0.241 | $46.08 | +$15.7 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 200 | $0.126 | $27 | +$1.84 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.423 | $25.25 | +$4.08 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 133.12 | $0.233 | $21.96 | -$9.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 30 | $0.690 | $21.45 | +$0.75 |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | 142.04 | $0.195 | $19.18 | -$8.57 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 229 | $0.047 | $17.86 | +$7 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 38 | $0.530 | $17.29 | -$2.85 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 50 | $0.360 | $17.25 | -$0.75 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.280 | $16.25 | +$2.25 |
| Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 30.06 | $0.347 | $13.38 | +$2.93 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 397.01 | $0.070 | $12.11 | -$15.68 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.510 | $9.9 | -$0.3 |
 Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.073 | $4.05 | -$3.31 |
 Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | $0 |
 Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 628.99 | $0.008 | $0.94 | -$4.09 |
| sell |
| 133.12 |
| $0.140 |
| $18.64 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Patrick Mahomes start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.090 | $1.62 | 8d ago |
 Will John Williams advance from the AK-AL primary election?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.900 | $18.9 | 12d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.919 | $18.39 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.656 | $6.56 | 15d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.330 | $14.85 | 16d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | 20d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | 20d ago |
 Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?No | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 20d ago |
| Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | 21d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | 22d ago |
| Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 22d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.988 | $4.94 | 22d ago |
 Will Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?Yes | sell | 78.5 | $0.626 | $49.15 | 22d ago |
 Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?No | buy | 5 | $0.950 | $4.75 | 22d ago |
 Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?No | buy | 5 | $0.865 | $4.33 | 22d ago |
| Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 22d ago |
| Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?No | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 23d ago |
 Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes | sell | 0.86 | $0.130 | $0.11 | 23d ago |
 Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.770 | $11.55 | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 10 | $0.981 | $9.81 | 27d ago |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 25 | $0.991 | $24.78 | 27d ago |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 79.01 | $0.001 | $0.08 | 28d ago |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.285 | $1.42 | 28d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.642 | $17.33 | 29d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.402 | $4.02 | 29d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.461 | $9.21 | 29d ago |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 10.1 | $0.987 | $9.97 | 29d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 13.48 | $0.398 | $5.37 | 29d ago |
 Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.700 | $7.7 | 29d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | 29d ago |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.954 | $14.31 | 29d ago |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.740 | $29.75 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.953 | $14.3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.776 | $6.13 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?No | buy | 6 | $0.775 | $4.65 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 17.1 | $0.880 | $15.05 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 55.5 | $0.023 | $1.28 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 15.48 | $0.928 | $14.37 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.925 | $0.61 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.006 | $0.48 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.078 | $1.01 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | sell | 69.64 | $0.999 | $69.57 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 0.25 | $0.105 | $0.03 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 34.77 | $0.146 | $5.08 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No | buy | 16.64 | $0.674 | $11.22 | Aug 5, 2026 |