Analytics
Yes is at 5.5%, down 4 points from 9.5% when the market opened on 21 Nov 2025.
The high was 12% on 3 Mar 2026 and the low 1.5% on 8 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 3.5%; a month ago, 3.6%.
It is one of 71 markets under “Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?”.
$5.04K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.08K, with a 6.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 125 trades, $123.77 bought Yes and $1.43K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Numitus1994 with 429 shares; the largest No position is mombil with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 92.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 82 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 8:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 296 points · 21 Nov 2025 – 9 Oct 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Nov 2025 | 9.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mombil | No | 1.22K |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 429.26 |
| Jade Beacon E3EA | Yes | 222.27 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2027
58 more markets, none above 7.3%.
| rocky42022 |
| Yes |
| 204 |
| AJSV | Yes | 200 |
| HotDogs | No | 139.78 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 124.95 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 106.08 |
| Biver52 | Yes | 104.69 |
| MeganSimpson6814 | No | 102 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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