What is the “Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 23 Jul 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

43 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jul 24, 2:04 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-the-2026-fields-medal) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Market referencewill-john-pardon-win-the-2026-fields-medalUpdated Jul 24, 2026 UTC

cultureResolved

Yes · settled Jul 23, 2026 UTCawardsculture

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$119.9K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jul 23, 2026 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Aug 13, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jul 24, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

93%

Yes / No shares

163.61 / 10.17K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

215

Loaded notional

$55.05K

Yes sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

177

Move

+47 pts

Range

25.0% - 98.5%

Jan 7, 12:00 AM UTC to Jul 23, 12:00 AM UTC

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Better-Compass-Chime	sell	Yes	99.9%	100	Jul 23, 2:01 PM UTC
SweetChariot	buy	Yes

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 23 Jul 2026. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

Better-Compass-Chime

sell

Yes

99.9%

100

Jul 23, 2:01 PM UTC

SweetChariot

buy

Yes