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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 57.7 | $0.260 | $53.37 | +$38.37 |
 New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 10?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | 2h ago |
 |
| No |
| 48.98 |
| $0.408 |
| $47.12 |
| +$27.12 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 109.05 | $0.100 | $38.88 | +$28.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 68.66 | $0.437 | $34.67 | +$4.67 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? | Yes | 38.46 | $0.260 | $28.27 | +$18.27 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 30.4 | $0.493 | $27.82 | +$12.82 |
 Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat? | Yes | 29.81 | $0.118 | $27.72 | +$24.19 |
 Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year? | No | 28.81 | $0.868 | $26.65 | +$1.65 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 46.74 | $0.428 | $23.14 | +$3.14 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9? | No | 23.53 | $0.850 | $22.71 | +$2.71 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 88.17 | $0.212 | $21.2 | +$2.51 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 10? | No | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20.63 | +$0.63 |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 27.53 | $0.433 | $20.42 | +$8.49 |
 Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 19.95 | $0.410 | $19.92 | +$11.74 |
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 21.04 | $0.713 | $19.49 | +$4.49 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $19.06 | +$9.06 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 27.62 | $0.543 | $17.75 | +$2.75 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 23.44 | $0.640 | $17.46 | +$2.46 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 19.74 | $0.760 | $16.97 | +$1.97 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.630 | $16.31 | +$1.31 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 30.3 | $0.330 | $16.21 | +$6.21 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 24.59 | $0.610 | $16.11 | +$1.11 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 214.29 | $0.070 | $16.07 | +$1.07 |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 17.05 | $0.800 | $16.03 | +$2.39 |
 Will David Morales be the Democratic nominee for Mayor of Providence? | Yes | 20.24 | $0.494 | $15.88 | +$5.88 |
| sell |
| 0.78 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.05 |
| 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | 3h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 10?No | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | 3h ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | 3h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 9?No | buy | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | 3h ago |
 Will United Arab List (Ra'am) win 5.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No | buy | 11.12 | $0.900 | $10 | 5h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.140 | $0.28 | 5h ago |
 Will Tomáš Vohryzka be the next Mayor of Ústí nad Labem?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 5h ago |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 6h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.070 | $0.08 | 9h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 29.38 | $0.070 | $2.06 | 12h ago |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.840 | $0.03 | 13h ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No | sell | 0.05 | $0.850 | $0.04 | 13h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 8?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.030 | $0.36 | 14h ago |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 8?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.680 | $8.16 | 14h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.140 | $0.1 | 15h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | sell | 75.32 | $0.070 | $5.27 | 15h ago |
 Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.126 | $0.63 | 15h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.66 | $0.600 | $5.2 | 17h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.630 | $15 | 17h ago |
| Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.34 | $0.620 | $7.03 | 17h ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.500 | $3.43 | 17h ago |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 3?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.895 | $10 | 20h ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 1.7 | $0.820 | $1.39 | 20h ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 8?No | sell | 23.45 | $0.050 | $1.17 | 23h ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?Yes | buy | 22.92 | $0.872 | $19.98 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.240 | $0.72 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 8?No | buy | 23.46 | $0.853 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.15 | $0.230 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.230 | $0.01 | 1d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?Yes | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.230 | $0.15 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.61 | $0.230 | $5.43 | 1d ago |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.850 | $0.03 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.7 | $0.240 | $0.17 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.21 | $0.950 | $4.95 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.3 | $0.940 | $3.1 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 5.61 | $0.940 | $5.27 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.58 | $0.940 | $0.55 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | sell | 0.72 | $0.160 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
 Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.92 | $0.043 | $0.9 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.160 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 7.97 | $0.590 | $4.7 | 1d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.18 | $0.240 | $1.96 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 36.54 | $0.547 | $20 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.770 | $6.24 | 2d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 27.87 | $0.718 | $20 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 7?Yes | buy | 11.72 | $0.730 | $8.56 | 2d ago |