Analytics
Yes is at 4.3%, down 44 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 4 Sep 2026.
Across the 51 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.5% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 2% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.3%; a month before, 8%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 20.5% on 29 Sep 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?”.
$2.83K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.34K, with a 4.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Perypery with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Zman151515 with 2.3K.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zman151515 | No | 2.27K |
| Perypery | Yes | 1.07K |
| Nadmi | Yes | 898.44 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hung-cao-confirmed-as-secretary-of-the-navy-by
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 300 |
| Fulgurator | No | 266.62 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 234.78 |
| LLLLLukee | No | 51.09 |
| Better-Browsing | Yes | 50 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
| mitochondria1111 | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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