Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August? | No | 300.6 | $0.998 | $299.85 | -$0.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August?No | buy | 300.6 | $0.998 | $300 | 5d ago |
 |
| No |
| 300.64 |
| $0.998 |
| $298.99 |
| -$1.01 |
| Will JD Vance’s remarks not air? | No | 140.51 | $0.996 | $140.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 10.27 | $0.450 | $5.75 | +$1.13 |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | Yes | 10.28 | $0.470 | $3.29 | -$1.54 |
| buy |
| 140.51 |
| $0.996 |
| $140 |
| 5d ago |
| Will the earnings call not air?No | buy | 300.64 | $0.998 | $300 | 5d ago |
 Will the earnings call not air?No | buy | 250.42 | $0.998 | $250 | 5d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in August?No | buy | 127.2 | $0.959 | $122 | 11d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in August?No | buy | 23.76 | $0.968 | $23 | 18d ago |
 Will Trump praise Warren Buffett in August?No | buy | 25.3 | $0.830 | $21 | 18d ago |
 Will Warsh’s remarks not air?No | buy | 25.51 | $0.980 | $25 | 18d ago |
 Will the earnings call not air?No | buy | 100.24 | $0.998 | $100 | 18d ago |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.820 | $16.5 | 18d ago |
| Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.156 | $3.25 | 18d ago |
 GitHub Git Operations critical incident by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 20.4 | $0.586 | $11.96 | 19d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes | sell | 30.84 | $0.830 | $25.6 | 19d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 51.76 | $0.320 | $16.56 | 19d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.130 | $2.69 | 20d ago |
| GitHub Git Operations critical incident by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.500 | $10.2 | 20d ago |
| GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.08 | $0.130 | $4.04 | 20d ago |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?Yes | buy | 30.84 | $0.320 | $9.87 | 20d ago |
| Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 10.28 | $0.470 | $4.83 | 21d ago |
| Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.450 | $4.62 | 21d ago |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be at least $100 billion in June 2026?No | buy | 161.09 | $0.987 | $159 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $80 in July?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.772 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?Yes | buy | 2.54 | $0.590 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes | buy | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?No | buy | 12.51 | $0.959 | $12 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.5 | $0.983 | $29 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Honeywell (HON) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will IBM (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.902 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.12 | $0.899 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 11.09 | $0.902 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.709 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will MSCI (MSCI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 7.02 | $0.926 | $6.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Equifax (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.840 | $3 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will JPMorgan say "Cyber" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will JPMorgan say "Risk" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 19.53 | $0.973 | $19 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will JPMorgan say "Pivot" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will JPMorgan say "Million" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Bank of America say "Subscriber" during earnings call?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?No | buy | 16.49 | $0.970 | $16 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will United Airlines say "Fuel" / "Oil" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in July?No | buy | 26.53 | $0.980 | $26 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | buy | 9.12 | $0.877 | $8 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $116 in July?No | buy | 26.07 | $0.959 | $25 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.977 | $43 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Intel (INTC) Q2 Data Center & AI revenue be above $7B?No | buy | 15.05 | $0.930 | $14 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 capital expenditures be above $37B?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.910 | $21 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Honeywell Technologies (HON) Q2 Building Automation sales be above $1.85B?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) Q2 total backlog be above $230B?No | buy | 9.55 | $0.890 | $8.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Interactive Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $7.9B?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Texas Instruments (TXN) Q2 Analog revenue be above $5B?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.910 | $5.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |