Analytics
Yes is at 30%, down 20 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 4 Sep 2026.
Across the 53 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.5% on 19 Sep 2026 and the lowest 22% on 15 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 30.5%; a month before, 48%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?”.
The order book holds $580.18, with a 38.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 3:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 30.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hung Cao is confirmed by the U.S. Senate as Secretary of the Navy by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Hung Cao's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Secretary of the Navy for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Hung Cao's service as Acting Secretary of the Navy will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hung-cao-confirmed-as-secretary-of-the-navy-by
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