Analytics
Yes is at 1.7%, down 45 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 11 Feb 2026.
The high was 48.5% on 20 Feb 2026 and the low 1.5% on 11 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 2%; a month ago, 2.2%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 48.5% on 20 Feb 2026.
$6.65 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $421.02K since listing. The order book holds $11.82K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $958.42 bought Yes and $22.06K bought No; the largest was a $15.48K sell of No at 96.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Ledger 7684 with 6.9K shares; the largest No position is HAOI with 8.7K. Ten wallets hold 46.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 9, 3:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 220 points · 11 Feb 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | 46.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 1.7% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| HAOI | No | 8.74K |
| Quiet Ledger 7684 | Yes | 6.91K |
| AmphibiousCaldwellPope | No | 6.13K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-gta-6-cost-100-245
| TBill1 |
| No |
| 4.52K |
| HotDogs | No | 3.61K |
| megafom | No | 3.58K |
| Scholarly-Passage | No | 3.24K |
| enrico-vasaio | No | 3.23K |
| Omrithegever | Yes | 3.23K |
| QMG-CORE | No | 2.83K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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