Analytics
Resolved Yes on 26 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93%. Yes opened at 74% on 9 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 93% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 74% on 9 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 91% on 13 Oct 2026. $2.12K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 11:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 93.0% |
1 more market, none above 4.5%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Spectrum | No | 400 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 152.69 |
| johnashbough | No | 135.19 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Knockout Stage scheduled to begin on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team reaches the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage (scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026) to the Knockout Stage, per official tournament rules. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In or the Swiss Stage, or withdraws from the tournament), the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Knockout Stage participants have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/worlds-2026-team-to-reach-knockout-stage
| ghorrock | No | 53.4 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 50.6 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| crossFiter | No | 37 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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