Analytics
Yes is at 51.5%, down 13 points from 64% when the market opened on 9 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 9 Oct 2026 to 22 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 64% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 28% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 41.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 28% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 16 markets under “Worlds 2026: Team to Reach Knockout Stage”.
$1.89 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $306.5 since listing. The order book holds $533.48, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Naive-Blade with 140 shares; the largest No position is Maximus374 with 161.
Trading closes on 15 Dec 2026, 54 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 2:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 9 Oct 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 64.0% |
| 22 Oct 2026 | 51.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Maximus374 | No | 160.98 |
| Naive-Blade | Yes | 140 |
| ManaZ | Yes | 60.98 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the Knockout Stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026, with the Knockout Stage scheduled to begin on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A team reaches the Knockout Stage if it is officially confirmed as one of the eight teams advancing from the Swiss Stage (scheduled for October 23 to October 31, 2026) to the Knockout Stage, per official tournament rules. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage (e.g. it is eliminated in the Play-In or the Swiss Stage, or withdraws from the tournament), the associated market will resolve to "No". If Worlds 2026 is canceled, postponed after December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the Knockout Stage participants have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/worlds-2026-team-to-reach-knockout-stage
4 more markets, none above 23.0%.
| Spectrum |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| arrpadex | No | 41.89 |
| random-trader-123 | No | 40 |
| johnashbough | No | 10 |
| rwlgn.reaper | Yes | 3.64 |
| Luminous-Burn | No | 3.64 |
| hungrycrocodile4444 | Yes | 1.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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