Resolved No on 6 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 65%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 6 Aug 2026, the highest close was 35% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 24 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 35% on 6 Aug 2026. $27.69K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 6 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 34.5% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | 35.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.08K |
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 367.79 |
| bo0xts | Yes | 296.46 |
| AiBird | Yes | 244.93 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the continent associated with the winner (1st place) of the $10,000 No-Limit Hold'em Main Event at the 2026 World Series of Poker, held in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Main Event runs July 2–13, 2026, with the final table scheduled for August 3–5, 2026. The winner's continent is determined by the player's nationality (country of citizenship) as reported by the official resolution source. It is not determined by country of residence, birthplace, or where the player currently lives. Each country maps to a single continent under the following rules: Mexico, Central American countries, and Caribbean nations count as North America; transcontinental countries are assigned as follows: Russia counts as Europe, Turkey counts as Europe, and any country straddling continents is assigned to the continent of its capital city. If the reported winner holds dual or multiple nationalities, the market resolves to the continent of the nationality listed first by the official resolution source. If the Main Event is cancelled, or is postponed such that no champion is determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." If there is a tie or multiple winners are announced, this market will resolve to "Other". In the instance of a deal to split prize money, this market will resolve to the officially listed winner on the resolution site. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official WSOP website (https://www.wsop.com). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-continent-will-win-the-2026-wsop-main-event-20260702145015737
| Zanl | Yes | 135.49 |
| attempt-most | Yes | 117.98 |
| QbertRules | Yes | 100 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 80 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
| Quiet Falcon 43EF | Yes | 31.88 |
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