Analytics
Yes is at 9.4%, down 36 points from 45% when the market opened on 25 Nov 2025.
Across the 311 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 27 Oct 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95% on 7 Jun 2026 and the lowest 6.2% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.3%; a month before, 6.3%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 62.5% on 7 Feb 2026.
It is one of 22 markets under “What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?”.
$15.6K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.27M since listing. The order book holds $139.34K, with a 0.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is LlamaLoco0000 with 300.7K shares; the largest No position is JnStrtPrdctnMrkts with 755.8K. Ten wallets hold 80.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 27, 10:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 311 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 45.0% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 9.4% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | No | 755.81K |
| LlamaLoco0000 | Yes | 300.68K |
| Cyclewin | Yes | 86.83K |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-ethereum-hit-before-2027
10 more markets, none above 2.5%.
| ETHhedge | Yes | 71.41K |
| AndreasSchm | Yes | 70.04K |
| 0xDCCrane | No | 34.36K |
| ask15 | Yes | 31.14K |
| eNakeVets | Yes | 29.7K |
| Tokor | Yes | 27.75K |
| Albert 1953 | Yes | 24.61K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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