Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 24 points from 41.5% when the market opened on 5 Sep 2026.
Across the 52 daily closes on record from 5 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 12 Sep 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21%; a month before, 29.5%. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 23.5% on 2 Oct 2026.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Drake release a new album by...?”.
$1.9K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $42.31K since listing. The order book holds $7.88K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $3.5K bought Yes and $5.03K bought No; the largest was a $2.28K sell of No at 86.9¢.
The largest Yes position is Smart-bettor7 with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is nonkenny90 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 73.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 5 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | 41.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Smart-bettor7 | Yes | 1.7K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1.7K |
| nonkenny90 | No | 1.7K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-a-new-album-by
| shovelingdigging |
| No |
| 1.44K |
| 0x49F206 | No | 1.32K |
| Mustafalafel | Yes | 683 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 614.82 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 438.8 |
| title1 | Yes | 420.13 |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 351.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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