Analytics
Yes is at 2.1%, down 1.6 points from 3.7% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 3.8% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2% on 8 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%.
It is one of 2 markets under “Will Drake release a new album by...?”.
$1.92K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $754.25, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $64.01 bought Yes and $959.15 bought No.
The largest Yes position is bonalddrunk with 200 shares; the largest No position is nonkenny90 with 449.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 12:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 3.7% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 2.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nonkenny90 | No | 448.99 |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 200 |
| Parz1vaI | No | 131 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-a-new-album-by
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 118.72 |
| timeistmoney | No | 100 |
| mehanizator | Yes | 99.99 |
| aliiz | Yes | 78 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 75.82 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 62.03 |
| nanioto | Yes | 27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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