Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 126 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 18 Mar 2026, the highest close was 97% on 18 Mar 2026 and the lowest 9% on 15 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 52 points up, to 60.5% on 16 Nov 2025.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 19, 7:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 126 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 18 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 47.5% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | 97.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.6K |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 677.78 |
| Azure Maven 39B2 | No | 564 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Illinois. If no 2026 Illinois Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Illinois Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/illinois-republican-senate-primary-winner
| No |
| 411.77 |
| Quiet Lynx 3E7F | No | 342 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| 5atka | No | 200 |
| 88mnm88 | No | 149.99 |
| dcsbb | No | 132 |
| GS13 | No | 130.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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