Analytics
Yes is at 20.5%, down 13 points from 33% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 12 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.5% on 23 Oct 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 57.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 31% on 28 Oct 2026.
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE ranks fourth of the 8 outcomes in “Senate Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska”. Dems TX & KS, Ind NE leads at 26.5%; Dems TX & KS, Reps NE is at 22.5%.
$1.13K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.79K since listing. The order book holds $14.62K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 220 trades, $1.17K bought Yes and $1.69K bought No.
The largest Yes position is sbrivaemhomyachkov with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1K. Ten wallets hold 83.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 33.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sbrivaemhomyachkov | Yes | 1.12K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.01K |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 538.02 |
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Texas, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Texas or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senate-three-way-combo-texas-kansas-nebraska
| conherence | No | 340.5 |
| johnnath1222 | Yes | 316.06 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 276.34 |
| SingletonFamilyFund | Yes | 259.76 |
| AnonymousUsername | No | 231.76 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | No | 127 |
| G.Hchen | No | 120 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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