Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 24 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 261 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2025 to 1 Jul 2026 (20 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 100% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 26 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 50.9% on 27 Feb 2026. $44.77K traded over the market's life.
67 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 7:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 261 points, 24 Sep 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2025 | 25.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 11.98K |
| ACara | No | 757.45 |
| lissartter | No | 203.57 |
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/databricks-ipo-closing-market-cap
| fm14 | No | 180 |
| Sunny-Course | No | 136 |
| 387411007415611814092217897387 | No | 103.91 |
| haruk098 | Yes | 100 |
| ma99 | No | 100 |
| akunai | No | 100 |
| Essential-Interchange | No | 78.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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