Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.5%. Yes opened at 22.8% on 6 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 66.4% on 9 Jul 2026 and the low 5.8% on 26 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 19.3% on 15 Jul 2026. $6.04K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 31, 12:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 6 Jul 2026 – 30 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | 22.8% |
| 30 Jul 2026 | 6.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 864.65 |
| weatherrepoter | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Raketa09 | Yes | 60 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 53 |
| Emopig | Yes | 50 |
| simpleman | Yes | 35.75 |
| walkwithyourboy | Yes | 20.43 |
| Indigo Lynx C16C | Yes | 17.17 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure. If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/core-pce-mom-june-2026-20260702035317774
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