Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 75.5% on 16 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2025 to 21 Oct 2025, the highest close was 94.5% on 20 Oct 2025 and the lowest 75.5% on 16 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 92.5% on 18 Oct 2025. $12.54K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 4:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Oct 2025 – 21 Oct 2025, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 | 75.5% |
| 21 Oct 2025 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rousseauuuuuu | No | 1.7K |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 283.22 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 121 |
| oak | No | 66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that the listed media outlet’s Pentagon press pass is revoked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "Pentagon press pass" means the OSD Public Affairs–issued Pentagon building access credential (press accreditation) required for routine entry to Pentagon facilities and press workspaces; briefing invites or remote/pool access do not qualify. A qualifying revocation includes any circumstances under which an outlet is no longer permitted to hold any active Pentagon press badges, whether through rescinding, deactivation, collection, or non-renewal, etc. This includes time-boxed or indefinite suspensions affecting the entire outlet. If a qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" even if the effective date is later; any later reinstatement will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from the Department of Defense (Pentagon), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-major-outlets-will-lose-pentagon-press-passes-by-dec-31
| lissartter | No | 50 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 50 |
| edvxn | No | 14.63 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 14 |
| S888 | No | 5 |
| chatgpt.com | Yes | 0.01 |
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