Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 60%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 242 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 20 Sep 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 16 Sep 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 7 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 63% on 11 May 2026. $13.5K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 242 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 20 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 48.5% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 60.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ooops | No | 863.97 |
| CosmicCedar | No | 599 |
| Ivory Atlas B8F8 | Yes | 261.11 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026
15 more markets, none above 4.3%.
| technician2 | No | 53.74 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 30.08 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 25.07 |
| Rain-Prob-01 | No | 12.95 |
| DumplingBMF | No | 12.5 |
| 13klklas | No | 12.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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