Analytics
Yes is at 34%, up 2.5 points from 31.5% when the market opened on 24 Sep 2026.
Across the 30 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 21.5% on 28 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 39%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 43% on 25 Sep 2026.
Chuck Schumer ranks second of the 9 outcomes in “Next US Senate Minority Leader?”. John Thune leads at 54.5%; John Barrasso is at 5.1%.
$35.05 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $5.95K since listing. The order book holds $6.5K, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 201 trades, $667 bought Yes and $1.53K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Spectrum with 284 shares; the largest No position is DumbMoney2222 with 497. Ten wallets hold 88.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 31.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 34.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DumbMoney2222 | No | 497.15 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 367.06 |
| Spectrum | Yes | 284 |
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-us-senate-minority-leader
| IserlohnC |
| Yes |
| 240.97 |
| macrosteaks | Yes | 196.05 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 167.57 |
| 7figtc | Yes | 100 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 100 |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | No | 100 |
| James-Talarico | No | 48.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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