Analytics
Yes is at 0.3%, down 7.7 points from 8% when the market opened on 24 Sep 2026.
Across the 32 daily closes on record from 24 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 9% on 25 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.8%; a month before, 4%.
Brian Schatz ranks eighth of the 9 outcomes in “Next US Senate Minority Leader?”. John Thune leads at 54.5%; Chuck Schumer is at 34%.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $379.67 since listing. The order book holds $12.61K, with a 0.4% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 133 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 367.
Trading closes on 3 Jan 2027, 67 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 24 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | 8.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 0.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 367.06 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 132.87 |
| Bright Sphinx 1B73 | No | 100.51 |
This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-us-senate-minority-leader
| flexer78 | Yes | 70.51 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 61.6 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 57.92 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 40.55 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 29 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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