What is the “Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved 100k on 5 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $90,000.00 USD or $100,000.00 USD between November 25, 2024, 11 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "90k" if $BTC drops to $90,000.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "100k" if $BTC reaches $100,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $90,000.00 or below nor reaches $100,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

74 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 20, 5:07 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-bitcoin-hit-90k-or-100k-first) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved 100k: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?

Market referencewill-bitcoin-hit-90k-or-100k-firstUpdated Jan 20, 2026 UTC

cryptoResolved

100k · settled Dec 5, 2024 UTCbitcoincrypto-prices

90k

0.0%

100k

100.0%

Final 90k 0¢Final 100k 100¢

Lifetime volume

$3.3M

Resolved

100k

Settled

Dec 5, 2024 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Jan 20, 2026 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Jan 20, 2026 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

100k

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

79%

Yes / No shares

12.97K / 1.61K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

232

Loaded notional

$282.48K

100k sell at 99.9%

History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · daily closes · latest observation Dec 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Points

Move

-36 pts

Range

25.0% - 78.0%

Nov 26, 12:00 AM UTC to Dec 5, 12:00 AM UTC

Remaining positions after settlementWinners redeemed their shares, so these rows lean to the losing side. Not live orderbook depth or current OI.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
nitish	90k	4.82K	41.5%	$4.82K
Marcusgkr1	100k	1.37K	77.7%

Topic room

Every related market on one live board

Bitcoin Price oddsHow high, and how low, do traders expect Bitcoin to go?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved 100k on 5 Dec 2024. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on whether Bitcoin ($BTC) will first reach $90,000.00 USD or $100,000.00 USD between November 25, 2024, 11 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "90k" if $BTC drops to $90,000.00 USD or less first within the market timeframe. This market will resolve to "100k" if $BTC reaches $100,000.00 or more first within the market timeframe. If the price of $BTC neither drops to $90,000.00 or below nor reaches $100,000.00 or more within the market timeframe, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Outcome

Avg entry

Cost basis

Last trade

nitish

90k

4.82K

41.5%

$4.82K

Marcusgkr1

100k

1.37K

77.7%

Trader	Current holding value
Marcusgkr1	$1.37K
Joshends	$87.72
Adam110480	$48.99
Avocado159	$18.06
Helmsterino	$16.67
Thane	$14.94
Axel5	$14.82
ABlakeC	$11.72
Shade1	$11.06
Bankaisg	$5
wonmmo	$2.08
eweytt	$2.04