Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.070 |
| $0.35 |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Dec 29, 2024 |
 Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.620 | $0.95 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will 'BIRDS OF A FEATHER' win Song of the Year?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | sell | 3.16 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.978 | $1.96 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.055 | $0.01 | Dec 26, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.055 | $0.01 | Dec 26, 2024 |
 Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 0.01 | $0.700 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.250 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.250 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.948 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 0.01 | $0.948 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.046 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.058 | $0.01 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 0.67 | $0.300 | $0.2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?Yes | buy | 0.67 | $0.300 | $0.2 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will $FLOKI be listed first on Robinhood?Yes | buy | 0.53 | $0.019 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?100k | buy | 0.04 | $0.240 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?Yes | buy | 0.03 | $0.330 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.053 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?Yes | buy | 0.04 | $0.280 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.090 | $0.01 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.060 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Iran strike on Israel before December?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.060 | $0.1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.67 | $0.015 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.580 | $0.1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 0.67 | $0.150 | $0.1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 0.21 | $0.047 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.36 | $0.280 | $0.1 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.170 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 0.06 | $0.170 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 2024 November hottest on record?Yes | buy | 0.32 | $0.031 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp) Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Yes | buy | 0.05 | $0.210 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.025 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 No change in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?Yes | buy | 0.48 | $0.021 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 0.02 | $0.639 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?Yes | buy | 0.06 | $0.160 | $0.01 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.200 | $1.82 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 5.7 | $0.230 | $1.31 | Nov 19, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Nov 12, 2024 |