Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.430 | $0.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.62 |
| $0.680 |
| $1.1 |
| Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.55 | $0.340 | $1.21 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.310 | $1.1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.680 | $1.97 | Apr 17, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.310 | $0.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.610 | $1.07 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.630 | $1.1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.200 | $0.81 | Mar 24, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.54 | $0.580 | $2.05 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.310 | $1.1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 3.06 | $0.311 | $0.95 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.359 | $1.1 | Mar 7, 2026 |
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?US | buy | 2.64 | $0.416 | $1.1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.82 | $0.360 | $1.02 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.33 | $0.380 | $1.27 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.330 | $1.1 | Feb 13, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | sell | 3.14 | $0.300 | $0.94 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes | buy | 3.14 | $0.350 | $1.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.07 | $0.270 | $1.1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.07 | $0.510 | $1.06 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.69 | $0.410 | $1.1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.230 | $0.66 | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.380 | $1.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5.87 | $0.270 | $1.58 | Jan 14, 2026 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.390 | $1.1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.68 | $0.370 | $0.99 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.68 | $0.410 | $1.1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.79 | $0.250 | $0.95 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.79 | $0.290 | $1.1 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.260 | $1.02 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.93 | $0.280 | $1.1 | Nov 24, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.410 | $2.05 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.430 | $1.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.44 | $0.440 | $1.07 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.450 | $1.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.39 | $0.440 | $1.05 | Oct 26, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.460 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Mariners vs. Blue JaysMariners | buy | 2.34 | $0.470 | $1.1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.23 | $0.300 | $1.27 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.260 | $1.1 | Oct 16, 2025 |