Analytics
Yes is at 11.5%, down 8 points from 19.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 27.5% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 5 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 12.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in November?”.
$22.93K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $107.98K since listing. The order book holds $79.96K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 320 trades, $11.29K bought Yes and $34.54K bought No; the largest was a $5K buy of No at 88.0¢.
The largest Yes position is hqb.prediction with 43.6K shares; the largest No position is Marioy with 10K. Ten wallets hold 78.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 5%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 19.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 11.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hqb.prediction | Yes | 43.56K |
| pilimili | Yes | 10K |
| Marioy | No | 10K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026
6 more markets, none above 5.5%.
| Impressive-Steak |
| No |
| 9.68K |
| justdance | No | 7.32K |
| Quiet Horizon F251 | No | 5.68K |
| MielVdB | No | 4.7K |
| Tokor | Yes | 3.27K |
| ComTruise | No | 2.63K |
| Manhohoho | No | 2.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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