Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, up 8 points from 30.5% when the market opened on 2 Nov 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2026 to 2 Nov 2026, the highest close was 38.5% on 2 Nov 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 2 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 38.5% on 2 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit in November?”.
$47.29K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $63.19K since listing. The order book holds $30.64K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 187 trades, $12.16K bought Yes and $18.8K bought No; the largest was a $6.62K buy of No at 67.0¢.
The largest Yes position is hqb.prediction with 27.5K shares; the largest No position is Marioy with 10K. Ten wallets hold 81.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 29 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 2, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 2 Nov 2026 – 2 Nov 2026, chart shows 25%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2026 | 30.5% |
| 2 Nov 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hqb.prediction | Yes | 27.51K |
| pilimili | Yes | 10K |
| Marioy | No | 10K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-november-2026
7 more markets, none above 9.5%.
| justdance |
| No |
| 5.96K |
| WilliamNaka | No | 5.44K |
| KKreturn | No | 5K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 4.57K |
| -Yang- | No | 4.36K |
| har-gow | Yes | 3.41K |
| Manhohoho | No | 2.03K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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