Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

Name: Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

cryptoResolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.7M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Mashtots	Yes	30K	0.3%	$90
yorkshire	Yes	11.99K	0.9%	$100	Jul 31, 8:26 PM UTC
coali10	Yes	11.11K	7.3%	$811.1
wttg	Yes	7K	64.0%	$4.48K
SirJoe222	Yes	6.9K	11.5%	$743.92
ask15	Yes	5.59K	15.4%	$819.99	Jul 31, 2:03 PM UTC
Athletic-Manager	Yes	4.74K	2.3%	$99.99	Jul 31, 3:09 PM UTC
Entire-Eggnog	Yes	4.59K	3.6%	$161.5	Jul 31, 2:35 PM UTC
FrankA	Yes	4.48K	3.8%	$171.11	Jul 31, 9:48 PM UTC
PhongLeXBT	Yes	2.85K	0.7%	$19.91	Jul 31, 7:44 PM UTC
gt197	Yes	2.81K	26.8%	$754.27
Ronzoar	Yes	2.59K	19.2%	$471.21
Mynamer1	Yes	2.11K	2.0%	$40.99	Jul 31, 2:07 PM UTC
Loooser	Yes	2.11K	1.3%	$27.41
GollumGekko	Yes	2K	15.0%	$300
Hughiec	Yes	1.57K	16.0%	$251.39
jan-delarus	Yes	1.43K	18.5%	$250
acal	Yes	1.35K	1.5%	$19.69
KOMZY	Yes	1.3K	15.0%	$188
Markximus	Yes	1.26K	12.7%	$151.76
RealMaxNick	Yes	1K	3.2%	$30.16	Jul 31, 2:47 PM UTC
sallylover	Yes	899.81	54.7%	$479.5
rwcoffee	Yes	870.51	23.5%	$195
DuoSuo	Yes	762.13	0.7%	$5	Jul 31, 10:53 PM UTC
Madhava	Yes	750	15.4%	$109.39
Enchanting-Pathogenesis	Yes	673.49	2.4%	$15	Jul 31, 2:59 PM UTC
tree33	Yes	629.08	2.8%	$16.94	Jul 31, 2:10 PM UTC
SubaTruba	Yes	625	0.9%	$5	Jul 31, 7:06 PM UTC
qqqq88888	Yes	600	0.4%	$2.4	Jul 30, 11:13 PM UTC
Glamorous-Pounding	Yes	550	8.7%	$45
FakeLove2025	Yes	499.99	1.8%	$8.5	Jul 31, 9:09 PM UTC
Drearrr	Yes	476.19	2.2%	$10	Jul 31, 4:21 PM UTC
arganza	Yes	430	35.0%	$150.5
Indigo Pulse 7964	Yes	408.16	4.9%	$20
Liquidpapercut	Yes	407.38	4.4%	$17	Jul 31, 8:37 PM UTC
007x007	Yes	389.19	2.7%	$10	Jul 31, 3:29 PM UTC
Crimson Falcon E686	Yes	380.42	4.4%	$15.78
Fuadkrm7	Yes	377.38	1.7%	$6.3	Jul 31, 3:37 PM UTC
Berezainvest	Yes	326	12.7%	$39.12
Cryp	Yes	300	78.2%	$231
axio	Yes	300	8.4%	$23.7
standx2	Yes	284.12	1.5%	$4.01	Jul 31, 2:08 PM UTC
retete	Yes	250	25.0%	$62.5
Moktariano	Yes	248.97	29.5%	$70
qiaonailang	Yes	240	0.7%	$1.68	Jul 31, 11:27 AM UTC
Aptekar	Yes	238.1	43.7%	$100
Santti	Yes	234.32	5.5%	$12.13
Advanced-Cormorant	Yes	230.64	3.1%	$6.73	Jul 30, 2:14 PM UTC
hqb.prediction	Yes	212	49.7%	$101.76
Indigo Ledger 91E1	Yes	211.59	10.6%	$21.16
dannguyen	Yes	204.75	15.9%	$31.5
Possi	Yes	178.57	29.4%	$50
Pure-Hiccups	Yes	178.57	29.4%	$50
0xOctopus	Yes	174.24	1.2%	$2	Jul 31, 11:17 PM UTC
Royal Scout CA1B	Yes	146	69.9%	$99.28
Crimson Beacon 9EC3	Yes	145.3	67.9%	$95.9
Even-Education	Yes	129.99	3.1%	$4.1
Lovable-Pledge	Yes	125	0.9%	$1	Jul 30, 5:45 PM UTC
Stingy-Local	Yes	125	1.0%	$1.12	Jul 30, 5:13 PM UTC
sdcfgihkjftkhfsdj	Yes	119.22	8.3%	$9.35
tyeplo	Yes	117.16	9.3%	$10.92
bagice	Yes	113.79	30.4%	$33
jcbtc	Yes	113	38.0%	$42.94
Neon Vector 3B76	No	106.38	94.4%	$98.93
Short-Diam-Quartz	Yes	100.91	56.2%	$55
shu7788	Yes	100	52.0%	$52
krh	Yes	100	10.6%	$10
TENETENET	Yes	100	0.1%	$0.1
Benpol	Yes	100	3.1%	$2.9	Jul 31, 2:26 PM UTC
trojashka	Yes	100	46.2%	$44
sphinx96	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Mistyyzero	Yes	95.24	2.2%	$2	Jul 31, 4:10 PM UTC
Exotic-Coincidence	Yes	93.75	16.9%	$15
Lesha333	Yes	90.91	2.4%	$2	Jul 30, 11:10 AM UTC
DelosOlivos007	Yes	90.91	1.2%	$1	Jul 31, 11:36 PM UTC
Golden Atlas FC33	Yes	86.25	13.1%	$10.35
Quick-Advent	Yes	86.21	59.7%	$50
just-hedge-eth	Yes	84.62	27.3%	$22
lylyay	Yes	81.85	1.3%	$1	Jul 31, 1:56 PM UTC
AbhishekKashyap	Yes	81.67	7.8%	$6	Jul 31, 2:09 PM UTC
demonsochi23	Yes	73.53	1.8%	$1.25	Jul 31, 5:52 PM UTC
BIGBIGDILDO	Yes	71.43	1.5%	$1	Jul 31, 6:28 AM UTC
Rapid Ledger EAAA	Yes	71	13.8%	$9.23
StrikerXX	Yes	65	1.7%	$1.04	Jul 31, 9:26 PM UTC
tantanE	Yes	64.52	3.3%	$2
Raw-Ink	Yes	58.82	18.0%	$10
grkhr	Yes	58.82	35.6%	$20
castor90	Yes	58.14	44.7%	$25
mastersniper2	Yes	52.26	20.1%	$9.93
Neon Harbor 7F56	Yes	52	23.2%	$11.44
BrucoMela	Yes	51	28.3%	$14.43
SalvadorPalma	Yes	50	40.0%	$20
.Menthe	Yes	50	0.1%	$0.05
Unonumero	Yes	50	11.7%	$5.5
Rude-Star	Yes	48.71	32.3%	$15
136136	Yes	46.8	22.4%	$9.93
KittyDyin	Yes	45.14	23.2%	$9.93
Solar Horizon 0338	Yes	43.6	15.9%	$6.54
gamblingisgud	Yes	43.48	24.2%	$10
Pineheartcrg	Yes	43.43	47.7%	$19.98
Golden Kestrel 8448	Yes	42.33	12.8%	$5.08
ninasimon	Yes	40	15.9%	$6
mangorlica	Yes	40	25.0%	$10
Wan-Meander	Yes	39.5	8.5%	$3.16
Raincrypto	Yes	39.23	13.5%	$5
Quiet Beacon 0332	Yes	37.93	3.1%	$1.1
TonyChao	Yes	37.5	8.5%	$3
Azure Meteor 8FA2	Yes	37.33	15.9%	$5.6
Keen Beacon 138F	Yes	37.04	28.5%	$10
Crimson Scout EF9F	Yes	34.07	14.9%	$4.77
DrS8	Yes	33.33	15.9%	$5
Azure Vector EFC5	Yes	33.33	9.7%	$3
theSideProject	Yes	32.79	62.7%	$20
387411007415611814092217897387	Yes	31.21	6.0%	$1.87
MELL	Yes	31.17	15.4%	$4.54
Frozen-Vet	Yes	30	7.0%	$2.1
Amberstone	Yes	29.56	35.4%	$10
Bero1738	Yes	27.27	11.7%	$3
Crimson Horizon 4277	Yes	24.8	21.1%	$4.96
ZarculBot	Yes	24.75	13.8%	$3.21
Azure Falcon C753	Yes	24.38	17.0%	$3.9
Indigo Vector AF12	Yes	23.62	22.2%	$4.96
Emerald Quasar CE10	Yes	23.62	22.2%	$4.96
Indigo Lynx 6AE6	Yes	23.62	22.2%	$4.96
Amber Summit 6FD3	Yes	23.62	22.2%	$4.96
Pointless-Rain-Skill	Yes	23.62	22.2%	$4.96
4hm3d241m1e	Yes	23	2.0%	$0.46
Frajder	Yes	22.74	11.7%	$2.5
wei818	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
Bold Signal CACA	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
gbj123456	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
Gdjsbdj	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
Yuanbing	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
Quiet Falcon 9A2E	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
Lunar Scout 87D8	Yes	22.55	23.2%	$4.96
Akashch	Yes	20.86	6.9%	$1.36
toolo	Yes	20	50.0%	$10
Good-Petitioner	Yes	18.75	16.9%	$3
lud0manchik	Yes	18	28.0%	$5.04
Strident-Republican	Yes	17.78	46.7%	$8
golden-eco	Yes	17.54	57.0%	$10
polly012	Yes	15.85	19.0%	$2.85
jakesilo	Yes	15.15	34.5%	$5
Baristalibertarian	Yes	15	69.0%	$10.35
triklozoid	Yes	15	0.1%	$0.02
HarryLoudini	Yes	14.99	24.0%	$3.6
arifset	Yes	14.29	29.4%	$4
asalways	Yes	14.11	22.4%	$3
peixe	Yes	13.7	59.0%	$8.08
Bright Ledger 1830	Yes	13.51	7.9%	$1
Stark-Scraper	Yes	13.51	75.3%	$10
Mattaeo	Yes	12.66	80.2%	$10
porroger	Yes	12.5	17.1%	$2
MillerTimothya	Yes	12.5	73.4%	$9
RoyJail	Yes	12.31	66.6%	$8
Striped-Utilisation	Yes	11.28	23.2%	$2.48
stangtheg	Yes	10	10.6%	$1
amigo.lava	Yes	10	60.7%	$5.9
lara.cruz	Yes	10	38.0%	$3.65
FisheBeta	Yes	9.97	62.7%	$6.08
freaky67	Yes	9.62	53.7%	$5
Golden Sphinx 2987	Yes	9.09	11.0%	$1
Leading-Yang	Yes	8.33	12.7%	$1
goggog	Yes	7.69	13.8%	$1
KabukiSatoru	Yes	7.67	13.8%	$1
Violet Summit 1142	Yes	7.5	14.8%	$1.05
Eugenelaur	Yes	7.5	28.2%	$2
stygg2	Yes	7	16.9%	$1.12
Eliasjunior	Yes	6.9	30.4%	$2
phildubuy	Yes	6.27	24.2%	$1.5
Neon Ledger 121C	Yes	6.25	17.1%	$1
Davidssss	Yes	6.25	17.6%	$1
Quiet Signal A588	Yes	6.06	34.9%	$2
Unsung-Icy	Yes	6	13.0%	$0.78
Sweaty-Epauliere	Yes	5.36	57.7%	$3
Crimson Voyager 6D7D	Yes	5.21	34.0%	$1.77
sky128alphalord844	Yes	5	49.7%	$2.4
battistonihalefx	Yes	5	58.0%	$2.9
shadow520.janice	Yes	5	64.6%	$3.15
rillaguccionez	Yes	5	64.6%	$3.15
rocketcrypto	Yes	5	1.0%	$0.05
byte99darkman	Yes	5	46.7%	$2.25
Glossy-Questionnaire	Yes	5	61.7%	$3
paxtonbenyaminpro631	Yes	5	58.7%	$2.85
ramerokeiran	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.05
pangrashawn27	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.05
darkcorejohnd	Yes	5	47.7%	$2.3
MMEEEE981	Yes	5	46.7%	$2.25
brodedebonis	Yes	5	58.7%	$2.85
phantom267steelsys991	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.05
novazxultravi	Yes	5	49.7%	$2.4
nighthunterkv	Yes	5	49.0%	$2.45
hawkai324	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.05
jewellyolondapro	Yes	5	59.7%	$2.9
rosabellongnecker138	Yes	5	58.7%	$2.85
peeteangeles	Yes	5	58.7%	$2.85
pajakkimberly773	Yes	5	65.6%	$3.2
novaxgrayskyzone	Yes	5	59.7%	$2.9
dragon-80-light	Yes	5	65.6%	$3.2
tigerneojkecn	Yes	5	47.7%	$2.3
dark21c	Yes	5	49.7%	$2.4
poiujq1	Yes	5	59.7%	$2.9
olyvianicolaus1542	Yes	5	62.7%	$3.05
wolfify.as	Yes	5	59.7%	$2.9
cyberman.melton	Yes	5	49.7%	$2.4
wolfwestgiga15	Yes	4.99	48.7%	$2.35
novamak	Yes	4.99	48.7%	$2.35
Vikash1991	Yes	4.76	22.2%	$1
pete23er12	Yes	4.18	56.7%	$2.3
dinakovesus	Yes	4.18	56.7%	$2.3
sonclairmont	Yes	4.18	56.7%	$2.3
hypermakertechsys	Yes	4.17	49.7%	$2
zhengdaqian8	Yes	4.17	25.3%	$1
backstaber	Yes	3.85	27.3%	$1
shadowqueen918	Yes	3.7	55.7%	$2
Heorys	Yes	3.57	29.4%	$1
Alirezaphtm	Yes	3.57	29.4%	$1
tech208crypt612	Yes	3.56	46.7%	$1.6
phantompilotjoshuaroberts	Yes	3.48	47.7%	$1.6
eagle790.fleming	Yes	3.4	48.7%	$1.6
pulse997	Yes	3.4	48.7%	$1.6
cyber107corezone	Yes	3.4	48.7%	$1.6
nayraowehridike	Yes	3.33	49.7%	$1.6
steelman45	Yes	3.33	49.7%	$1.6
dragondevtechai	Yes	3.33	49.7%	$1.6
Whimsical-Poignance	Yes	3.28	62.7%	$2
Intrepid-Pagoda	Yes	3.28	62.7%	$2
hyperdevpul	Yes	3.28	59.7%	$1.9
ravencorew	Yes	3.28	59.7%	$1.9
drummondciraolo2495	Yes	3.22	60.7%	$1.9
rosaurawolakuk	Yes	3.17	61.7%	$1.9
gatzaanissa1648	Yes	3.11	62.7%	$1.9
migdaliaryles1924	Yes	3.11	62.7%	$1.9
Late-Design	Yes	3	10.7%	$0.3
tech99830skydev	Yes	2.95	62.7%	$1.8
Engazung	Yes	2.94	35.6%	$1
cronshawgriffin	Yes	2.9	63.6%	$1.8
x650datawpnur	Yes	2.9	63.6%	$1.8
tumblestonron	Yes	2.9	63.6%	$1.8
pulseman84	Yes	2.9	63.6%	$1.8
darkman.jeremy.holt	Yes	2.9	63.6%	$1.8
randolfgarnettes3055	Yes	2.9	63.6%	$1.8
ermelindareiff2920us	Yes	2.86	64.6%	$1.8
exexs	Yes	2.86	36.6%	$1
raven1337.grace	Yes	2.81	65.6%	$1.8
Tiresias123	Yes	1.79	57.7%	$1
giochi	Yes	1.75	58.7%	$1
yaosongsong	Yes	1.72	59.7%	$1
himanshu0009	Yes	1.54	66.6%	$1
Jinetealgarete	Yes	1.54	66.6%	$1
jimylanister	Yes	1.49	68.5%	$1
FUUCKYOU	Yes	1.35	75.3%	$1
50a2	No	1.08	99.5%	$1.07	Jul 30, 5:06 PM UTC
low-risk	Yes	1.04	2.3%	$0.02
FutureTech	Yes	0.78	15.1%	$0.12
blyATB	Yes	0.45	14.8%	$0.06
RogerKint	Yes	0.45	46.6%	$0.2
Redheartdvtr	Yes	0.27	50.6%	$0.14
455454458	Yes	0.21	21.1%	$0.04

259 of 259 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Neon Vector 3B76	$106.38
50a2	$1.08
Kooky-Abnormality	$0.1

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