Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 351.05 | $0.930 | $328.23 | +$1.76 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 7.36 | $0.987 | $7.27 | 10m ago |
| No |
| 365.76 |
| $0.692 |
| $316.38 |
| +$63.28 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 291.31 | $0.902 | $271.07 | +$8.37 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 275.55 | $0.868 | $221.82 | -$17.32 |
 Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 209.26 | $0.985 | $207.06 | +$0.84 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 260.24 | $0.603 | $206.89 | +$49.93 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 207.07 | $0.921 | $195.47 | +$4.77 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | No | 178.06 | $0.985 | $177.26 | +$1.79 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 141.49 | $0.718 | $123.81 | +$22.28 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 130.51 | $0.895 | $120.72 | +$3.87 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 157.02 | $0.611 | $102.85 | +$6.94 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 99.36 | $0.883 | $97.82 | +$10.06 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 108.81 | $0.890 | $94.12 | -$2.72 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 95.74 | $0.965 | $93.3 | +$0.94 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 120.01 | $0.720 | $89.41 | +$2.97 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 91.54 | $0.963 | $88.93 | +$0.75 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 74.79 | $0.934 | $73.22 | +$3.37 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 102.32 | $0.600 | $67.02 | +$5.59 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 241.77 | $0.339 | $61.65 | -$20.26 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 362.83 | $0.160 | $56.24 | -$1.9 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 50.15 | $0.668 | $43.38 | +$9.88 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 56.52 | $0.680 | $41.54 | +$3.11 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 90.69 | $0.259 | $41.4 | +$17.94 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 48.65 | $0.817 | $41.31 | +$1.58 |
 Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 43.64 | $0.864 | $35.13 | -$2.55 |
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No| buy |
| 9.29 |
| $0.560 |
| $5.2 |
| 2h ago |
 No one announced as next James Bond?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.802 | $1.09 | 3h ago |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.04 | $0.910 | $1.86 | 4h ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.952 | $4.33 | 4h ago |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.955 | $1.43 | 5h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.33 | $0.810 | $1.89 | 6h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.71 | $0.730 | $1.98 | 6h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 23.28 | $0.984 | $22.91 | 7h ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 20.04 | $0.700 | $14.03 | 7h ago |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.790 | $5.33 | 7h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 15.54 | $0.740 | $11.5 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.32 | $0.730 | $2.42 | 8h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.730 | $0.88 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 1.3 | $0.730 | $0.95 | 9h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.5 | $0.730 | $1.83 | 9h ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.13 | $0.230 | $1.18 | 10h ago |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.480 | $3.16 | 10h ago |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.02 | $0.502 | $0.51 | 15h ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 2.96 | $0.502 | $1.49 | 15h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.690 | $1.57 | 16h ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.940 | $2.31 | 16h ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 9.46 | $0.710 | $6.72 | 17h ago |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 41.65 | $0.079 | $3.29 | 18h ago |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.210 | $0.23 | 19h ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | sell | 2.31 | $0.520 | $1.2 | 19h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 6.88 | $0.240 | $1.65 | 20h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.964 | $1.18 | 21h ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 2.92 | $0.890 | $2.6 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14.4 | $0.600 | $8.64 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.35 | $0.600 | $5.01 | 21h ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 39.54 | $0.930 | $36.77 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.590 | $4.24 | 21h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 48.15 | $0.590 | $28.41 | 22h ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.503 | $2.76 | 22h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | sell | 11.79 | $0.654 | $7.71 | 23h ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.240 | $2.67 | 23h ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.910 | $4.59 | 23h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | 23h ago |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.19 | $0.940 | $3.94 | 23h ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.92 | $0.700 | $2.74 | 1d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4 | $0.100 | $0.14 | 1d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.91 | $0.870 | $1.66 | 1d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.800 | $1.33 | 1d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 4.47 | $0.790 | $3.53 | 1d ago |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 10.72 | $0.790 | $8.47 | 1d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.790 | $1.72 | 1d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.45 | $0.503 | $2.74 | 1d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.31 | $0.425 | $2.68 | 1d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 2.65 | $0.520 | $1.38 | 1d ago |