Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 29.97 | $0.200 | $24.43 | +$18.43 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.48 | $0.617 | $4.62 | 22d ago |
 |
| No |
| 5.09 |
| $0.930 |
| $4.71 |
| -$0.03 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6.38 | $0.759 | $4.07 | -$0.77 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7 | $0.690 | $2.56 | -$2.28 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.74 | $0.400 | $1.65 | -$4.64 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | No | 7.31 | $0.705 | $0.64 | -$4.51 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 3.43 | $0.380 | $0.62 | -$0.69 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 31.26 | $0.160 | $0.45 | -$4.55 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.16 | $0.400 | $0.44 | -$0.42 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.976 |
| $4.88 |
| 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.620 | $4.79 | 22d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 9.65 | $0.575 | $5.55 | 24d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes | sell | 86.73 | $0.080 | $6.94 | 24d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 7.6 | $0.881 | $6.7 | 25d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No | sell | 7.53 | $0.720 | $5.42 | 25d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.612 | $4.65 | 25d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | sell | 6.24 | $0.790 | $4.93 | 28d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.48 | $0.430 | $1.5 | 28d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 5.33 | $0.940 | $5.01 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.37 | $0.985 | $5.29 | 28d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?No | sell | 5.28 | $0.958 | $5.06 | 29d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 5.45 | $0.940 | $5.12 | 29d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 6.98 | $0.732 | $5.11 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.74 | $0.660 | $5.11 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | sell | 12.24 | $0.450 | $5.51 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 5.44 | $0.962 | $5.23 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 28.37 | $0.110 | $3.12 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.516 | $1.91 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.740 | $5.45 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 13.61 | $0.233 | $3.17 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?No | sell | 7.09 | $0.826 | $5.86 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.87 | $0.038 | $2.85 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.01 | $0.170 | $4.93 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 9.02 | $0.300 | $2.71 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.39 | $0.730 | $5.39 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | sell | 25.07 | $0.220 | $5.52 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 50.85 | $0.100 | $5.09 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 10.96 | $0.590 | $6.47 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 6.6 | $0.995 | $6.57 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 4.49 | $0.820 | $3.68 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.86 | $0.660 | $1.89 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 8.64 | $0.610 | $5.27 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | sell | 11.58 | $0.480 | $5.56 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 6 | $0.640 | $3.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | sell | 22.25 | $0.024 | $0.53 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 7.25 | $0.780 | $5.66 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 15.71 | $0.038 | $0.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 4.84 | $0.735 | $3.56 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 1.84 | $0.736 | $1.35 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?Yes | sell | 7.88 | $0.790 | $6.23 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 58.97 | $0.048 | $2.83 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?Yes | sell | 16.42 | $0.370 | $6.08 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 10.13 | $0.500 | $5.07 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?No | sell | 6.11 | $0.970 | $5.93 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?No | sell | 10.55 | $0.715 | $7.54 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Tadej Pogačar win the 2026 Tour De France?Yes | sell | 5.93 | $0.978 | $5.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.86 | $0.630 | $5.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |