Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?

Name: Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

politicsResolved

No, settled Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$11.7M

Resolved

Settled

Aug 1, 2024 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
politik	Yes	151.35K	1.7%	$2.55K
analord	Yes	80.89K	6.7%	$5.41K
0xdb	Yes	75.4K	14.1%	$10.65K
ottr	Yes	52.27K	7.1%	$3.73K
dfgdgdfg	Yes	48.47K	5.8%	$2.82K
theyeeter	Yes	39.64K	10.1%	$4K
DannyBeanstalk	Yes	33.9K	7.7%	$2.6K
ethforever420	Yes	33.19K	15.1%	$5K
Extra-Small-Pretzel	Yes	25.26K	6.7%	$1.7K
lewi	Yes	24.28K	9.0%	$2.18K
donkey5963485	Yes	24.01K	4.2%	$999.99
BigMikeBeliever	Yes	15.21K	13.1%	$2K
Plo9	Yes	14K	4.6%	$644
dolph	Yes	13.67K	11.0%	$1.5K
Lined-Storage	Yes	12.26K	12.2%	$1.5K
SwamiSays	Yes	9.92K	6.0%	$599.99
betbetbetbetbet	Yes	9.01K	15.3%	$1.37K
bet2win	Yes	8.47K	2.8%	$236.68
sebsebseb2	Yes	7.84K	12.7%	$999.99
legge	Yes	7.42K	18.5%	$1.37K
remilio7	Yes	6.71K	11.8%	$790.55
alcp1234	Yes	6.11K	8.9%	$544.91
PDME	Yes	5.8K	5.6%	$326.32	Jul 30, 10:58 PM UTC
cryptoboy5	Yes	5.06K	8.5%	$429.99
0sum	Yes	4.64K	10.8%	$500
moneybeast	Yes	4.5K	6.7%	$302.92
rjr2525	Yes	4.2K	9.3%	$390
Roldy-971	Yes	3.76K	7.7%	$291
VODKAIKRA	Yes	3.7K	8.9%	$329.05
Lycurgus	Yes	3.5K	14.7%	$514.42
0xbit	Yes	3.4K	0.3%	$10	Jul 31, 5:26 PM UTC
Greedy-Misnomer	Yes	3.38K	2.4%	$81.94
Vers	Yes	3.11K	7.1%	$220.99
Darkshore	Yes	3.1K	9.0%	$279
Faint-Necktie	Yes	3.02K	7.2%	$218.92
asdf8888	Yes	3K	1.7%	$51
drslanger	Yes	3K	7.5%	$224.4
Limited-Giggle	Yes	2.95K	9.8%	$288.09
Billyboy	Yes	2.8K	4.4%	$123.2
whimsicalj	Yes	2.72K	6.5%	$177.94
shipitholla	Yes	2.32K	5.5%	$129.22
dog33	Yes	2.3K	4.7%	$107.91
stev	Yes	2.27K	8.8%	$200
Lawyered.eth	Yes	2.2K	14.0%	$308.33
Nelli	Yes	2.2K	9.6%	$210.78
tcp	Yes	2.1K	4.9%	$102.73
giraffe0x	Yes	2K	10.0%	$200
jess1234	Yes	1.73K	1.6%	$27.37
MountainManCrypto	Yes	1.65K	6.4%	$106.15
Squaredbarbarian	Yes	1.62K	12.3%	$200
BobSaget	Yes	1.61K	14.2%	$229.78
ChosenPhoenix	Yes	1.61K	6.7%	$107.98
InTheNameof	Yes	1.54K	6.5%	$100
kamalprezz	Yes	1.5K	7.1%	$106.12
SpeedPenguin	Yes	1.5K	5.0%	$75
bdgvdsbdfb	Yes	1.48K	11.2%	$165.62
marinerex	Yes	1.47K	6.8%	$100
Harmless-Domain	Yes	1.45K	13.1%	$190
Pleasing-Technician	Yes	1.43K	6.6%	$94.38
mjcc11111	Yes	1.4K	8.6%	$121.26
pez	Yes	1.39K	8.6%	$120
Sturdy-Visor	Yes	1.38K	16.4%	$225
cryptoker	Yes	1.35K	7.4%	$100.06
Impartial-Misrepresentation	Yes	1.32K	7.8%	$102.58
cantthinkofone	Yes	1.25K	10.5%	$131.35
Jacquesdegatineau	Yes	1.22K	12.4%	$150.65
valeyo	Yes	1.15K	8.7%	$100
dwboutit	Yes	1.12K	8.8%	$98.24
Htfsniveb10	Yes	1.11K	9.0%	$99.48
Reimes	Yes	1.09K	4.6%	$50
traub	Yes	1.04K	20.4%	$211.37
deebbone	Yes	1K	1.5%	$15
Cool-Jumper	Yes	1K	5.0%	$50
Cryptochrema	Yes	1K	1.5%	$15
ell	Yes	1K	7.5%	$75
Oshay	Yes	999.92	7.2%	$71.92
Z0LTAR	Yes	988.42	7.8%	$77.5
Leeroyjenkins-279	Yes	987.96	9.8%	$96.82
Chaos-Lover	Yes	930.59	8.6%	$80
Dapper	Yes	900	11.9%	$107.58
PudgyPirateKing	Yes	876.16	11.4%	$100
cdem5	Yes	850	15.5%	$131.75
Cluttered-Reporting	Yes	826.45	12.1%	$100
bidenfan69	Yes	800	13.7%	$109.6
Jenny134	Yes	791.51	6.9%	$55
drinkwater	Yes	751.88	13.3%	$100
jakav	Yes	708.34	12.0%	$85
hags222	Yes	650	4.5%	$29.25
Adrianovitch	Yes	645.87	7.7%	$50
Lamezoid	Yes	640.5	6.0%	$38.43
freezedrychief	Yes	639.62	9.7%	$61.98
culogrande	Yes	600	17.0%	$102
Shantaram	Yes	600	3.3%	$19.7
Flat-Mapping	Yes	571.43	4.9%	$28
Weighty-Reactant	Yes	555	9.0%	$49.95
Emerald Scout 7D9E	Yes	547.5	8.9%	$49
madoff4point0	Yes	540.93	1.8%	$9.99
cmidujwd293	Yes	536.97	9.3%	$50
Evergreen-Furnace	Yes	536.56	10.7%	$57.29
Cobalt Oracle 05C9	Yes	521.57	8.8%	$46
Trim-Infiltration	Yes	500.3	5.7%	$28.4
Mr. Chinese	Yes	500	10.0%	$50
Skoukis	Yes	500	10.0%	$50
Walt82	Yes	500	4.5%	$22.5
dinodino	Yes	499.99	8.4%	$42
mufassa	Yes	454.55	2.2%	$10
Wiry-Alpenglow	Yes	400	5.2%	$20.78
Chagi	Yes	393.09	14.8%	$58
2more	Yes	383.12	10.4%	$39.71
DoomGuy	Yes	366.54	13.6%	$50
ponkemonke	Yes	363.64	8.3%	$30.05
VmVarga	Yes	349.4	8.3%	$29
emsosavvy	Yes	341.77	7.9%	$27
kaqtus997	Yes	333.33	1.5%	$5
exphat	Yes	319	9.4%	$29.99
Crisp-Blueberry	Yes	304.54	10.8%	$33
Rectangular-Devastation	Yes	300	6.5%	$19.5
draj	Yes	287	7.2%	$20.66
Juu	Yes	284.33	6.0%	$17.06
calmascake	Yes	278.71	4.7%	$13.1
Clear-Breakdown	No	271.74	92.0%	$250
jeromejaja	Yes	259.53	9.8%	$25.43
DECOY-726	Yes	253.16	7.9%	$20
diviner	Yes	250	8.9%	$22.25
ComposableKi	Yes	250	4.1%	$10.25
Spinach-267	Yes	246.32	9.5%	$23.4
Revolving-Clave	Yes	241.33	8.3%	$20
Luckybenny	Yes	220.78	7.7%	$17
hsa3048	Yes	217	2.0%	$4.34
kosherdemedicilorenzo	Yes	205.22	9.7%	$20
Lunar Signal 14F6	Yes	204.08	4.9%	$10
Blissful-Trooper	Yes	200	10.7%	$21.4
alph4	Yes	200	8.7%	$17.4
Markcwdrop	Yes	200	1.0%	$2
FONLine	Yes	185.11	8.8%	$16.29
Begunj	Yes	179.87	14.2%	$25.6
LowEnergyJeb	Yes	166.67	9.4%	$15.62
hahatt	Yes	162	10.9%	$17.7
cucumber	Yes	158.73	6.3%	$10
NP48	Yes	150	18.7%	$28.03
ter	Yes	142.68	8.0%	$11.41
tlc69	Yes	140	5.0%	$7
not-the-fed	Yes	135.38	4.4%	$6
darq	Yes	135	11.3%	$15.26
GreatestStoryNeverTold	Yes	133.7	3.5%	$4.68
Dangerous-Peacock	Yes	120.56	9.0%	$10.85
andd	Yes	120.45	3.5%	$4.21
frfr37	Yes	119.16	7.5%	$9
xiaowang	Yes	112.77	8.0%	$9.02
Amber Atlas 03F8	Yes	110	8.5%	$9.35
venture	Yes	105.26	9.5%	$10
idunno-445	Yes	103.55	3.1%	$3.25
WlNTERMUTE	Yes	100	10.0%	$10
Scarpo	Yes	100	2.9%	$2.9
qrad	Yes	100	16.5%	$16.5
Winner999	Yes	98.88	10.1%	$10
Indigo Summit 8E6F	Yes	82.35	8.5%	$7
Amber Oracle E44B	Yes	80	12.5%	$10
Cylindrical-Granddaughter	Yes	75	3.5%	$2.6
Praedico	Yes	74.63	13.4%	$10
ThiKat	Yes	66.67	18.0%	$12
ggggggggggggggg	Yes	62.5	8.0%	$5
Stelios	Yes	60	5.0%	$3
SarahD1234	Yes	56.18	8.9%	$5
smokeweed	Yes	50	8.5%	$4.25
ugcyfytfgyh	Yes	48.08	6.5%	$3.13
Agreeable-Blackness	Yes	47.62	2.1%	$1
Fumbling-Feng	Yes	46.94	4.9%	$2.3
mo.sa	Yes	46.72	6.4%	$2.99
rocketpilot	Yes	40	5.0%	$2
Surprised-Bootie	Yes	37.74	5.3%	$2
OyBOOJaY	Yes	37.04	8.1%	$3
jonlenk	Yes	31.38	4.7%	$1.47
StickyBallz	Yes	22.8	10.7%	$2.44
Informal-Aperitif	Yes	21.74	4.6%	$1
asdgvwsdb	Yes	21.28	9.4%	$2
TonyHero	Yes	20	3.8%	$0.76
hmhfnyc	Yes	18.77	6.5%	$1.22
Dental-Cookie	Yes	18.18	5.5%	$1
Nfill327	Yes	17.86	5.6%	$1
Rapid Kestrel E715	Yes	15.85	15.0%	$2.38
Loose-Carboxyl	Yes	14.49	6.9%	$1
SheldonW	Yes	12.66	7.9%	$1
ballzzz	Yes	10.53	9.5%	$1
Sleepy-Lifestyle	Yes	10.53	1.9%	$0.2
Blue-Statue	Yes	10	5.5%	$0.55
yvan	Yes	10	3.0%	$0.3
testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey	Yes	10	3.9%	$0.39
m2087	Yes	10	8.4%	$0.84
tao13	Yes	10	9.5%	$0.95
jonnyb	Yes	10	11.0%	$1.1
focuszone	Yes	7.33	1.5%	$0.11
best username	Yes	6.74	2.3%	$0.15
billQualityAssurance	Yes	6	4.7%	$0.28
Far-Book	No	5.2	96.2%	$5
stronger	Yes	3.33	0.3%	$0.01	Jul 31, 9:21 PM UTC
olynmpic2024	Yes	3.33	0.3%	$0.01	Jul 31, 10:06 PM UTC
uni505	Yes	3.33	0.3%	$0.01	Jul 31, 3:56 PM UTC
richcunt	Yes	3.33	0.3%	$0.01	Jul 31, 6:43 PM UTC
riverfishing	Yes	3.33	0.3%	$0.01	Jul 31, 5:04 PM UTC
Vladero111	No	3.26	91.9%	$3
Flimsy-Chem	No	3.12	96.2%	$3
taylaaa	Yes	2.5	0.4%	$0.01
Milanaaa	No	2.21	90.5%	$2
11cx	No	2.08	96.2%	$2
bookguest	Yes	2	0.5%	$0.01
baldingking	Yes	1.25	0.8%	$0.01
Probable-Sourwood	No	1.08	93.0%	$1
LoneLyPop1	No	1.03	96.8%	$1
thailand2	Yes	0.91	1.1%	$0.01
w3rqe	Yes	0.5	2.0%	$0.01
salvesterboccinio	Yes	0.43	9.5%	$0.04
gerw-681	Yes	0.38	2.6%	$0.01
sazedszaed	Yes	0.25	8.0%	$0.02
wetet	Yes	0.22	4.5%	$0.01
qwdAEWAR	Yes	0.22	4.5%	$0.01
kgyvfuhpoi	Yes	0.22	4.5%	$0.01
0xsummer	Yes	0.22	4.6%	$0.01
zhangcong11	Yes	0.2	4.9%	$0.01
zdzsgvdczs	Yes	0.2	9.8%	$0.02
liule88	Yes	0.2	4.9%	$0.01
dexsr4esxz	Yes	0.18	5.7%	$0.01
Favorable-Suspension	Yes	0.15	13.0%	$0.02

223 of 223 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Clear-Breakdown	$271.74
Far-Book	$5.2
Vladero111	$3.26

Analytics