Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 11.14 | $0.170 | $1.89 | Feb 5, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 174.21 |
| $0.183 |
| $31.86 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | sell | 578.15 | $0.034 | $19.66 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 369.93 | $0.085 | $31.56 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09K | $0.038 | $41.84 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.043 | $102.94 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | sell | 472 | $0.326 | $154.05 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 3.46K | $0.024 | $83.06 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | sell | 89.99 | $0.223 | $20.1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | sell | 754.81 | $0.051 | $38.38 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.25K | $0.041 | $92.85 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 6.43K | $0.133 | $856.92 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 903.94 | $0.132 | $119.14 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.042 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 3.46K | $0.020 | $70 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.154 | $203.96 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 360.79 | $0.140 | $50.51 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 142.82 | $0.130 | $18.57 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 375.93 | $0.266 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?Yes | buy | 528.93 | $0.378 | $200 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.188 | $200 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.25K | $0.089 | $200 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?Yes | buy | 578.16 | $0.035 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 369.93 | $0.134 | $49.71 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.84K | $0.054 | $100 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 49.5K | $0.002 | $99 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?Yes | buy | 29.76 | $0.168 | $5 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Marine Le Pen next Prime Minister of France?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Nancy Pelosi call on Biden to drop out?Yes | buy | 103.85 | $0.144 | $15 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez call on Biden to drop out?Yes | buy | 65.22 | $0.230 | $15 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.060 | $25 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Wyoming Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 364.7 | $0.027 | $10 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | Jul 4, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.010 | $50 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 3.15K | $0.016 | $50 | Jan 11, 2024 |
 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.69K | $0.019 | $50 | Jan 11, 2024 |