Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 267.36 | $0.160 | $42.78 | 26d ago |
|
| buy |
| 111.11 |
| $0.180 |
| $20 |
| Jun 10, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 291.77 | $0.034 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.320 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 298.16 | $0.441 | $131.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.75K | $0.004 | $15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 110.27 | $0.407 | $44.9 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 408.43 | $0.231 | $94.27 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 122.12 | $0.772 | $94.27 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 122.13 | $0.775 | $94.64 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 170.49 | $0.555 | $94.64 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 170.49 | $0.486 | $82.8 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.083 | $82.8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 537.88 | $0.170 | $91.44 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.5K | $0.011 | $100 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.070 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.011 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.006 | $15 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes | sell | 45 | $0.666 | $29.98 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 290 | $0.031 | $8.91 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?Yes | buy | 284.49 | $0.032 | $9 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 213 | $0.050 | $10.65 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.710 | $10.65 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?Yes | buy | 420.72 | $0.651 | $273.79 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.023 | $18.4 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | buy | 256.39 | $0.020 | $5.1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.018 | $9.25 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 5?Yes | buy | 211.26 | $0.008 | $1.77 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.070 | $105 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.020 | $37.32 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 100.01 | $0.018 | $1.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes | buy | 18.31 | $0.071 | $1.3 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.700 | $1.39K | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.680 | $68 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 215.29 | $0.680 | $146.4 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 339.44 | $0.629 | $213.35 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.034 | $680 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200.51 | $0.075 | $15.04 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 453.55 | $0.228 | $103.41 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 2.9K | $0.080 | $232 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 127.84 | $0.079 | $10.1 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 265 | $0.078 | $20.67 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 12.12K | $0.402 | $4.87K | Oct 19, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.41K | $0.590 | $1.42K | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.250 | $75 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.120 | $107.58 | Jul 22, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 330 | $0.620 | $204.6 | Jul 22, 2024 |