What is the “Will Biden remove nicotine from cigarettes?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Biden remove nicotine from cigarettes? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 19, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden signs any bill into law, issues an executive order, or if any federal agency (including the FDA) announces or publishes a rule requiring a reduction of nicotine levels in cigarettes or other tobacco products by January 19, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a rule by the FDA will qualify, regardless of if/when the the rule goes into effect. The primary resolution source fore this market will be official information rom the Biden administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($76.24K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$46.52K
Yes sell at 99.9%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Jan 15, 12:00 AM
Showing 60 of 350 loaded trade rows.Full archived tape is available through subscriber depth/API retrieval when coverage exists.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?
Vultax loaded 7 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Jan 16, 5:57 PM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-remove-nicotine-from-cigarettes) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
