Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 5kt meteor strike in 2025?Yes | sell | 570.41 | $0.029 | $16.54 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 6.4K |
| $0.999 |
| $6.39K |
| Oct 10, 2025 |
 U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.910 | $4.71 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.964 | $0.48 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 1 | $0.460 | $0.46 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.87 | $0.450 | $0.84 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?Yes | sell | 23.4 | $0.010 | $0.23 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.080 | $0.11 | Sep 11, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 1 | $0.986 | $0.99 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 328.37 | $0.830 | $272.55 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 3.01K | $0.956 | $2.87K | Sep 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 4.39K | $0.099 | $434.58 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | sell | 65.34 | $0.133 | $8.69 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 141.19 | $0.880 | $124.25 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.63K | $0.127 | $206.49 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 31.69 | $0.860 | $27.25 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.860 | $875.97 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 7.35K | $0.865 | $6.36K | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 356.54 | $0.850 | $303.06 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 6K | $0.900 | $5.4K | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 4.2K | $0.903 | $3.79K | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 2.5K | $0.906 | $2.26K | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.900 | $2.32K | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.949 | $1.11K | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Russia announces air truce by August 31?No | buy | 29.07 | $0.820 | $23.84 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 124.38 | $0.750 | $93.29 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.884 | $88.4 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 230.93 | $0.971 | $224.23 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 116.42 | $0.880 | $102.45 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 913.6 | $0.827 | $755.55 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 33.05 | $0.876 | $28.95 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 9.02 | $0.870 | $7.85 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?No | buy | 333 | $0.760 | $253.08 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 59 | $0.700 | $41.3 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 151.91 | $0.905 | $137.48 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?No | sell | 224.5 | $0.777 | $174.37 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | sell | 60.73 | $0.150 | $9.11 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?Yes | buy | 121.46 | $0.510 | $61.94 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 800 | $0.882 | $705.6 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.63K | $0.882 | $1.44K | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.801 | $6.41 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 564 | $0.800 | $451.2 | Aug 10, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.994 | $99.39 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 70.15 | $0.866 | $60.73 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?Yes | buy | 311.32 | $0.865 | $269.29 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 669.85 | $0.878 | $588.46 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 157.53 | $0.496 | $78.13 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 113.18 | $0.903 | $102.19 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 273.7 | $0.880 | $240.86 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 207.5 | $0.820 | $170.15 | Aug 8, 2025 |