Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.947 | $293.25 | +$9.15 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 258.23 | $0.194 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 92.59 |
| $0.540 |
| $12.04 |
| -$37.96 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 160 | $0.260 | $10.4 | -$31.2 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.380 | $7.5 | -$30.5 |
| buy |
| 300 |
| $0.947 |
| $284.1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 |
 Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaRybakina | buy | 121.95 | $0.410 | $50 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.760 | $76 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.260 | $41.6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.510 | $25.5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Aug 16, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.855 | $8.55 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 20?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.560 | $14 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?Yes | buy | 101.14 | $0.494 | $50 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.900 | $7.52 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 35.19 | $0.910 | $32.02 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?No | sell | 13.79 | $0.945 | $13.03 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 134.44 | $0.070 | $9.41 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | sell | 51.59 | $0.920 | $47.46 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 50 | $0.151 | $7.57 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by June 30?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.070 | $0.56 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.007 | $0.43 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | buy | 134.44 | $0.090 | $12.1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | sell | 110 | $0.110 | $12.1 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei seen in public before July?Yes | buy | 13.85 | $0.620 | $8.59 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?No | buy | 110 | $0.300 | $33 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 31.3 | $0.890 | $27.86 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 137.22 | $0.100 | $13.72 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 43.05 | $0.610 | $26.27 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Trump criminalizes desecrating the American flag before August?No | sell | 12.5 | $0.920 | $11.5 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No | sell | 5.88 | $0.930 | $5.47 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | sell | 3.2 | $0.955 | $3.06 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?Yes | sell | 64.23 | $0.080 | $5.14 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard resign by Friday?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.994 | $1.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | buy | 35.19 | $0.310 | $10.91 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US kicks trans members out of military before July?Yes | sell | 62.96 | $0.160 | $10.07 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Japan parliament dissolved before July?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.050 | $0.83 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium before August?No | buy | 51.59 | $0.590 | $30.44 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 137.22 | $0.255 | $35 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before July?No | buy | 3.2 | $0.750 | $2.4 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.490 | $4.1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard resign by Friday?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| North Korea missile test by June 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Brad Lander released from custody today?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk before July?No | buy | 60.65 | $0.475 | $28.81 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire before July 15?No | buy | 52.78 | $0.644 | $34 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?No | buy | 9.88 | $0.810 | $8 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2025?No | buy | 13.79 | $0.870 | $12 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will courts block Trump's Marines deployment by Friday?No | sell | 22.82 | $0.590 | $13.46 | Jun 11, 2025 |