Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jan 2025.
$76.24K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 5:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 15 Jan 2025, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jan 2025 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BortOG | No | 700.5 |
| Neoss | No | 480.16 |
| TrashMan | No | 442.66 |
| Amazing-Savory | No | 100 |
| Roja | No | 83.33 |
| bitcoiner4125 | No | 52.63 |
| polyy2323210 | No | 5.38 |
| megagrim | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden signs any bill into law, issues an executive order, or if any federal agency (including the FDA) announces or publishes a rule requiring a reduction of nicotine levels in cigarettes or other tobacco products by January 19, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of a rule by the FDA will qualify, regardless of if/when the the rule goes into effect. The primary resolution source fore this market will be official information rom the Biden administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-remove-nicotine-from-cigarettes
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