Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 85% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 37 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 1 Aug 2026, the highest close was 100% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 51% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 60.5% on 3 Jul 2026. $28.35K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 10:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 37 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 1 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 85.0% |
| 1 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.46K |
| Golden Oracle BE21 | No | 1.82K |
| Glum-Sink | No | 896 |
The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election. If two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/greater-manchester-mayoral-election-most-1st-preference-votes-20260625163310509
| No |
| 886.87 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 261.53 |
| nzrod | No | 100 |
| TENETENET | No | 99.91 |
| Ivory Ledger D69F | No | 69.36 |
| PPMT | No | 55.04 |
| galhammerman | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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