Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? | No | 1.5K | $0.690 | $1.29K | +$255.01 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 1.83K | $0.570 | $1.04K | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.12K |
| $0.098 |
| $959.21 |
| +$459.21 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 1.83K | $0.570 | $924.91 | -$119.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.98K | $0.340 | $878.7 | -$134.04 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.362 | $843.24 | +$186.56 |
| Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 907.15 | $0.350 | $494.4 | +$176.89 |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2.18K | $0.216 | $294.04 | -$175.96 |
 Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | 291.23 | $0.690 | $288.75 | +$87.75 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 4.68K | $0.107 | $257.56 | -$242.44 |
 Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | No | 213.3 | $0.629 | $212.98 | +$78.73 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 306 | $0.130 | $157.59 | +$117.81 |
 Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | Yes | 933.96 | $0.107 | $85.92 | -$14.08 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 900 | $0.280 | $79.65 | -$172.35 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 611.38 | $0.430 | $48.91 | -$213.98 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | No | 56.63 | $0.360 | $48.25 | +$27.86 |
 Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | No | 178.64 | $0.386 | $43.77 | -$25.11 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 1.3K | $0.169 | $39.69 | -$180.3 |
| buy |
| 268 |
| $0.350 |
| $93.8 |
| Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.340 | $1.01K | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 306 | $0.130 | $39.78 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?No | buy | 51.56 | $0.360 | $18.56 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.690 | $3.63 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?No | buy | 143.98 | $0.680 | $97.93 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 459.57 | $0.218 | $100 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 237 | $0.295 | $70 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?Yes | buy | 933.96 | $0.107 | $100 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 566.32 | $0.706 | $400 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?Yes | buy | 1.99K | $0.050 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.143 | $500 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?Yes | buy | 840.16 | $0.119 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?No | buy | 886.87 | $0.113 | $100 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.30 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 447.31 | $0.224 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 403.07 | $0.248 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.006 | $300 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 33.33K | $0.006 | $200 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 439.7 | $0.202 | $88.99 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 4.28K | $0.204 | $873.81 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.18K | $0.039 | $200 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.04K | $0.037 | $300 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 6.25K | $0.080 | $500 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.24K | $0.586 | $6K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?No | buy | 3.06K | $0.653 | $2K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 5.49K | $0.351 | $1.93K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.67K | $0.480 | $800 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.65K | $0.303 | $500 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Yes | buy | 6.63K | $0.015 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 2K | $0.350 | $700 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.89K | $0.096 | $276.87 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | sell | 221.37 | $0.616 | $136.35 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?No | sell | 295.16 | $0.621 | $183.16 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.84K | $0.543 | $1K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?No | buy | 2.15K | $0.465 | $1K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 4.48K | $0.194 | $870.22 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 6.01K | $0.537 | $3.23K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.140 | $200 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.01K | $0.155 | $2.01K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 4.42K | $0.330 | $1.46K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?Yes | buy | 7.72K | $0.039 | $300 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.387 | $500 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 262.31 | $0.300 | $78.69 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.42K | $0.339 | $1.5K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 2.64K | $0.567 | $1.5K | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 909.09 | $0.550 | $500 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 873.91 | $0.458 | $400 | Jun 11, 2026 |