Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 184 | $0.800 | $164.68 | +$17.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | 18d ago |
 |
| No |
| 221 |
| $0.640 |
| $163.54 |
| +$22.1 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026? | No | 157.1 | $0.846 | $154.59 | +$21.68 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 204.99 | $0.460 | $133.96 | +$39.67 |
 Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | No | 281.64 | $0.370 | $115.47 | +$11.27 |
 Will Șerban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 115 | $0.780 | $114.83 | +$25.13 |
| Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | No | 752 | $0.130 | $63.92 | -$33.84 |
 Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | No | 70 | $0.670 | $58.45 | +$11.55 |
| Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | Yes | 235 | $0.465 | $45.59 | -$63.69 |
 Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | No | 236 | $0.163 | $36.58 | -$1.78 |
 Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | No | 682.79 | $0.143 | $30.73 | -$67.24 |
 Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | No | 40 | $0.730 | $28.54 | -$0.64 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.35 | $0.770 | $27.5 | -$6.65 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? | No | 33.5 | $0.554 | $17.92 | -$0.63 |
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 9.51 | $0.380 | $9.44 | +$5.83 |
 Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | No | 35 | $0.103 | $4.38 | +$0.78 |
| buy |
| 752 |
| $0.130 |
| $97.76 |
| 20d ago |
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?No | buy | 60 | $0.170 | $10.2 | 23d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 8 | $0.380 | $3.04 | 24d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 1.24K | $0.982 | $1.22K | 27d ago |
 Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | buy | 140 | $0.490 | $68.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?No | buy | 63.49 | $0.670 | $42.54 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No | buy | 231.64 | $0.370 | $85.71 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?No | buy | 5 | $0.120 | $0.6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.120 | $148.68 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 411.83 | $0.200 | $82.37 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 223.33 | $0.170 | $37.97 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 117.28 | $0.160 | $18.76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No | buy | 444.79 | $0.140 | $62.27 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more?Yes | buy | 428.75 | $0.360 | $154.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?Yes | buy | 219 | $0.790 | $173.01 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 17 | $0.560 | $9.52 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 183 | $0.550 | $100.65 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 0.92 | $0.590 | $0.54 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 7.58 | $0.220 | $1.67 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Yes | buy | 222.52 | $0.340 | $75.66 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | buy | 13 | $0.560 | $7.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | buy | 20.5 | $0.550 | $11.28 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 151 | $0.870 | $131.37 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?No | buy | 185 | $0.710 | $131.35 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 50.45 | $0.610 | $30.77 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?Yes | buy | 22.03 | $0.200 | $4.41 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.150 | $2.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.090 | $27 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.15K | $0.125 | $143.75 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 607.06 | $0.180 | $109.27 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?No | buy | 428 | $0.320 | $136.96 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No | buy | 39 | $0.730 | $28.47 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 227.99 | $0.620 | $141.35 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 428 | $0.130 | $55.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 403.92 | $0.160 | $64.63 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Yes | buy | 349 | $0.240 | $83.76 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?No | buy | 15.54 | $0.890 | $13.83 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 130 | $0.740 | $96.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 135 | $0.740 | $99.9 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.750 | $97.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?Yes | buy | 210.9 | $0.110 | $23.2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.100 | $90 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 111.99 | $0.810 | $90.71 | May 28, 2026 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?No | buy | 95.99 | $0.905 | $86.87 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 120 | $0.800 | $96 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 120 | $0.790 | $94.8 | May 25, 2026 |
 Ebola case in the US by June 30?No | buy | 146 | $0.600 | $87.6 | May 24, 2026 |